8.29.2008

Saturday Loch's against the Spread


Well Week 1 is upon us and what a wait it has been, so without any furthur ado, several of the big dogs are eating cupcakes this weekend so lets start with the top,lets do this!

#4 USC -19.5 @ Virginia
I know the Cav's LB crew will show up, but so what, blowout here in Charlottesville.
USC INJ: No Major to report
Vir INJ: No Major to report
Pick: USC -19.5
USC wins 52-7, WIN

Hawaii @ #5 Florida -34.5
No More Colt, no reason to watch the Rainbows this year, Tebow and Co. roll!
HAW INJ: QB's Tyler Garunke and Inoke Funiki(named starter) will be out, so JUCO transfer Greg Alexander may get the start. Also out DE John Finoti and LB Blake Soares.
FLO INJ: Percy Harvin will see limited action especially if Florida gets up early, also out is TE Cornielius Ingram. Both starting DT's Torrey Davis and Jusin Trattou will be out along with defensive leader LB Brandon Spikes.
Pick: Florida -34.5
Florida Wins 56-10, WIN

#25 Alabama vs #6 Clemson -5 at Georgia Dome, Atlanta Ga.
Cullen Harper shines in this one and puts Clemson on the road to BCS.
Ala INJ: LB Jimmy Johns is suspended due to drugs and LB Prince Hall is Suspended and Eziekiel Knight is hurt. So Bama will be weak in the middle which isn't good when you are facing Spiller and Davis.
CLE INJ: Starter DT Rashad Jackson will be out with a torn quad and DeAndre McDaniel is battling legal issues both are expected not to play.
Pick: Clemson -5
Alabama wins 34-10, LOSS

Florida Atlantic @ #7 Texas -24
The burger called the Horns out and now its time to deliver or drive thru...whatever.
FAT INJ: Two Starting OL will be doubtful in C Nick Paris and G Kevin Miller, so this is not good for a very agressive Longhorn Defense. Also Top TE Jason Harmon is out with a Knee injury and was Rusty Smith's favorite target last year. Also LB Adam Clark is 50/50.
TEX INJ: SS Ishie Oduegwu will be out with a shoulder so rFR Christian Scott and Ben Wells will see action.
Pick: Texas -24
Texas wins 52-10, WIN

#18 Illinois vs #8 Missouri -9 @ St Louis Mo.
This will be the game of the day, and Juice will keep it close, but not enough.
ILL INJ: DT will be limited as D'Angelo McCray didn't make grades and Sirod Williams will be out. Also WR Jeff Cumberland will be out with a foot injury.
MIS INJ: WR Danario Alexander will be out with a knee injury, WR Jared Perry will step up in Alexander's absence.
Pick: Missouri -9
Missouri wins 52-42, WIN


UL Monroe @ #9 Auburn -26
Mr Lancaster this isn't Alabama, and it won't happen again. Kodi Burns era begins.
ULM INJ: NO MAJOR TO REPORT
AUB INJ: WR Montez Billings will be out with a hammy issue more touches for Fannin, and CB Aairon Savage will miss time also due knee injury. The JR Walter McFadden will step in nicely.
Pick: Auburn -26
Auburn wins 34-0, WIN

#12 Tennessee -7 @ UCLA Monday Game
The Neuheisel era starts with a Thud, Vols roll.
TEN INJ: Starting TE Jeff Cottam will be out with a knee injury. Grades take out several for the Vols this week including Projected starters LB Gerald Williams, CB Brent Vinson and DT Donald Langley in the DL rotation, also Chase Nelson will be out with a knee injury so the interior of the DL will be soft.
UCL INJ: QB Drew Olsen is rehabbing a foot injury suffered in spring ball, so Kevin Craft will get the start, no major drop off here. RB Kahil Bell willl be 50/50 with a knee injury, but FR Aundre Dean is expected to make Kahil heal faster. LT Micah Kia is nursing a hand injury will be a game time decision. SS Bret Lockett will be out due to a team policy violation but EJ Woods should step up.
Pick: Tennessee -7

Akron @ #13 Wisconsin -27
Bielema's Badgers will crush the undermanned Zips, where is Luke Getsey?
AKR INJ: 2 starting DT's are out and JuCo Transfer WR Deryn Bowser is out.
WIS INJ: FB Chris Pressley is out with a Thumb injury, LB Johnathan Casillas is nursing a knee injury and CB Aaron Henry is still rehabbing a sore ACL from last year. If this were a bigger game Casillas and Pressley would be in the lineup.
Pick: Wisconsin -27
Wisconsin wins 38-17, LOSS

Washington @ #17 Oregon -13.5
Oregon QB Costa is out for the year, with the shuffle at QB on, take Jake and 2 TD's.
WSH INJ: Top Tackler and Leader LB EJ Savannah will be ineligible due to grades and this will be a major loss. S Jason Wells will be out with a knee injury. Starting TE Michael Gottlieb will miss the game in Eugene due to Hammy. Look for Top Recruit Kavaio Middleton to step up. WR Curtis Shaw will miss the game due to family issues.
ORG INJ: QB Nathan Costa will be out due to ACL so Justin Roper will take over. Roper led the team to a bowl victory last year. Starting G Mark Lewis will be out with a groin injury and LB Kevin Garrett was released from the team for violating team policies.
Pick: Oregon -13.5
Oregon wins 44-10, WIN

FIU @ #19 Kansas -36
Former Doormat Kansas likes the new credibility and shows its for real by covering.
FIU INJ: None Major to Report
KAN INJ: Top Two K are out, so Jabba will have to go for two every time. Which is why they will cover.
Pick: Kansas -36
Kansas wins 40-10, LOSS

#21 Utah @ Michigan(-3)
This is the shiek upset pick of the week and it would be a upset if Michigan won. go with the Utes.
UTA INJ: NONE MAJOR TO REPORT
MIC INJ: RB Kevin Grady is suspended due to drunk driving, Michigan is deep at RB so it impact should be light.
Pick: Utah(+3)
Utah wins 25-23, WIN

W Michigan @ #22 Nebraska -14.5
Bo Pelini era starts and will be in for a closer game then most think.
WMU INJ: Starting OT Rob Johnson will be 50/50 with a concussion and 2nd wideout Jordan White is 25% with a leg injury.
NEB INJ: Depth will be lost with TE Hunter Teafatiller and DT Kevin Dixon missing the game to suspensions. Backup LB Latravis Washington will be 50/50 with a leg injury.
Pick: W Michigan +14.5
Nebraska wins 47-24, LOSS

#24 Boston College -10 @ Kent St
BC lost everyone on offense and Edelman and Jarvis of Kent will keep them close.
BC INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
KST INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
Pick: Kent St +10
BC wins 21-0, LOSS

Syracuse @ Northwestern -11.5
CJ Bacher and Tyrell Sutton will have a field day, how does Greg Robinson have a job?
SYR INJ: Big Time wideout Mike Williams(grades) and his backup Dan Sheeran(leg) will be out and starting DE Brandon Gilbeaux(grades).
NWT INJ: DT John Gill is out with a violation of Team Policy.
Pick: Northwestern -11.5
Northwestern wins 30-10, WIN

Memphis @ Ole Miss -8
I know Ole Miss will be improved but Memphis and my man Arkelon Hall will represent, but it won't be enough.
MEM INJ: OL line will be hurting with starters G Terrence Echols out with a torn MCL and OT Brent Todd nursing a foot injury. RB TJ Pitts will be out with a ankle injury so RB will be up for grabs.
MIS INJ: Big time injuries on the defensive front with DE Greg Hardy and DT Peria Jerry being out with injuries. They will be tough to replace but Chris Strong has been moved from LB to help cushion the blow.
Pick: Memphis +8
Ole Miss wins 41-24, LOSS

Ohio @ Wyoming -11.5
QB Dax Crum? Gotta go with Dax and Cowboys. Poor Frank Solich it will be rough year.
OHO INJ: Starting FB Mitch Morsillo is out.
WYO INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
Pick: Wyoming -11.5
Wyoming wins 21-20, LOSS

UAB @ Tulsa -13.5
QB Paul Smith is no longer there for the Hurricane, but it won't matter against the Blazers.
UAB INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
TUL INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
Pick: Tulsa -13.5
Tulsa wins 45-22, WIN

New Mexico @ TCU -6.5
The Under the Radar game of the week will be the Donovan Porterie show.
NM INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
TCU INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
Pick: New Mexico +6.5
TCU wins 26-3, LOSS

Mississippi St -8 @ Louisiana Tech
Former Yellow Jacket Taylor Bennett could lead LA Tech to the upset.
MSU INJ: One of the 2 stars of the Defense is ineligble due to grades FS Derek Pegues this will really hurt.
LAT INJ: NT Rolando Melancon will be ineligible for the dogs. He was a Tennessee transfer that was to make a impact.
Pick: Louisiana Tech +8
LA Tech wins 22-14, WIN

Oklahoma St -7 @ Washington St.
The Cowpokes will score often in Pullman.
OSU INJ: They lose some depth at wideout with Damian Davis and William Cole out, but impact will be slight.
WSU INJ: Two potenial producers at WR and two at OL will miss this game. WR Jeshua Anderson and WR Daniel Blackledge will be out against the Cowboys and last year starters OT Vaughn Lesuma and OG Dan Rowlands will be out. Not good for the Coug's when they will be in a basketball game with OSU.
Pick: Oklahoma St -7
Oklahoma St wins 39-13, WIN

N Illinois @ Minnesota -8
I think the Gophers will surprise a little this year.
NIU INJ: QB Dan Nicholson and OG Jason Onyebagu will be 50/50 against the Gophers.
MIN INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
Pick Minnesota -8
Minnesota wins 31-27, LOSS

Pittsburgh -13.5 @ Bowling Green
I always love the MAC team that is supposed to make some noise this year. Pitt will win, but Falcons keep it close.
PIT INJ: LB Shane Murray is day to day, so will be limited against the Falcons.
BGU INJ: Some depth at RB without Eric Ransom(knee) and Willie Geter(team violation)
Pick: Bowling Green +13.5
Bowling Green wins 27-17, WIN


Virginia Tech -9.5 @ E Carolina
Upset special, Tyrod Taylor redshirted? Patrick Pickney puts his name on the map.
VAT INJ: WR Zach Luckett is suspended and Brandon Dillard is out so depth at wideout will be missing. CB Victor "Macho" Harris will be nursing a foot injury so he will be limited on the offensive side of the ball.
ECU INJ: RB Chris Johnson's replacement was Dominique Lindsay but he is out for the year with a achilles issue, RB JR Rogers is also out with ankle problems. Depth at RB will be a problem.
Pick: E Carolina +9.5
E Carolina wins 27-22, WIN

Michigan St @ California -5
This will be a close one but California will pull it out, but just barely. Take MSU and the points. Javon Ringer alone will keep it interesting.
MSU INJ: Personal issues have taken out starting FS Roderick Jenrette and his backup Enrique Shaw for the year.
CAL INJ: OT Mike Tepper is 25% for this game and rFR WR Micheal Calvin will be held out with a toe injury.
Pick: Micigan St +5
California wins 38-31, LOSS

Idaho @ Arizona -27
Willie Tuitama will throw for over 400 in this one.
IDA INJ: OL Mike Iupati will miss 4 games with a Shoulder problem.
ARI INJ: DE johnathan Turner is suspended so D'Andre Reed will need to step up. TE Rob Gronkowski(ill) and LB Vuna Tuihalamaka(ankle) day to day.
Pick Arizona -27
Arizona Wins 70-0, WIN

Utah St @ UNLV -12.5
The Rebels may improve alot this year and it starts with Utah St.
UTS INJ: QB Jase McCormick has quit the team and the QB position has no experience. Also blocking FB Jacob Actkinson is out with a shoulder.
UNL INJ: Starting SR DT Jacob Hales will be out with a Elbow injury and CB Quinton Pointer is day to day with a Elbow problem.
Pick: UNLV -12.5
UNLV wins 27-17, LOSS

W Kentucky @ Indiana -20
Welome to NCAA Hilltoppers, you should have stayed in Division 2.
WKU INJ: Starting LB's Chris Bullard and Blake Boyd are 50/50
IND INJ: DE Greg Middleton will be out due to suspension, it won't hurt this game but they need him in Big 10 play.
Pick: Indiana -20
Indiana wins 31-13, LOSS

UL-Lafayette @ S Mississippi -10
New coach and new system for S Miss, UL will provide a little fight.
ULL INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
SMS INJ: DE David Boyce will be a game time decision.
Pick: UL-Lafayette +10
S Miss wins 51-21, LOSS

Arkansas St. @ Texas A&M -19.5
Injuries limited Arkansas St last year and A&M finally moved Javorski Lane to FB, like every year A&M will win, but it will be closer then it should.
ARS INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
TAM INJ: FB Javorskie Lane is still nursing some neck pain but is expected to go, they shouldn't need him much.
Pick: Arkansas St. +19.5
Arkansas St wins 18-14, WIN

UNT @ Kansas St. -26.5
Ron Prince got a contract extension and Todd Dodge is over his head in NCAA.
UNT INJ: Projected starter Alonzo Horton will miss the year with grade issues and C Kevin Drake is out with a ankle injury.
KSU INJ: 2 Starting OT are 50/50 with knee injuries they are Alesana Alesana and Ben Liu both Sr's. Also Starting Tailback Leon Patton is out with a Team violation so Juco Daniel Thomas will have to step up.
Pick: Kansas St. -26.5
KSU wins 45-6, WIN

16-13 on Saturday, Total for the year 19-18 51%, Ranked teams 7-6 53%

Sunday Games:

Kentucky @ Louisville -4
No Andre Woodson, Rafael Little or Keenan Burton for the Wildcats. Hunter Cantwell overrates his way to the win.
KEN INJ: QB Curtis Pulley and CB Paul Warford have been dissmissed from the team for violations and academics. Mike Hartline will take over for Pulley. 6 career pass attempts for Hartline.
LOU INJ: Some depth at wideout with Scott Long(Foot) and JaJuan Spillman(weapon charges) but minimal impact.
Pick: Louisville -4

Colorado St. vs Colorado -11 in Denver
Colorado is underrated and should blowout their pseudo rivals this year.
COL INJ: DE Drew Hudgins is out with a Knee and several of the Buffs recruits from 08are ineligible due to grades. But overall not much impact.
CSU INJ: CB DeAngelo Wilkinson is suspended so the undersized rFR Ivory Herd may take over. Also K Jason Smith is out with a Arm injury. A K out with a arm injury wow!
Pick: Colorado -11

Monday's Games

Fresno St @ Rutgers -5
The darling pick this year Fresno St. forgets they still have to play in order to win a BCS spot. Go with Rutgers with Britt and Underwood.
FSU INJ: NO MAJOR INJURIES TO REPORT
RUT INJ: OT Anthony Davis will be a game time decision with a back injury.
Pick: Rutgers -5

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

you guys are leaving out the most prominent factors that affect these games. it's not about what coach is in or who's hurt, who did well last year, etc. it's about stuff like 1.) what did the dorms serve last night (chili?, some sort of casserole? bagel bites?), 2.) did any of these esteemed college athletes get any last night?, 3.) if not, did they abuse themselves in the shower?, 4.) how late did the family guy marathon run?, 5.) did the ridiculous amount of 'texting' the youths do these days affect any qb,rb, or wr wrists/thumbs?.

these are the true game changers.