9.18.2008

WEEK FOUR - Top 25 Preview (Part I: 11-25)

#12 Alabama at Arkansas
(Saturday, 11:30 am, ESPN360.com)
Arkansas has needed big fourth quarter comebacks to beat Western Illinois and Louisiana-Monroe. Alabama on the other hand already has a dominating performance over preseason #6 Clemson on their resume. This one will be closer than you expect, but if John Parker Wilson plays well the outcome will never be in doubt.
J.Pike’s Pick: Alabama 24, Arkansas 14

#13 South Florida at Florida International
(Saturday, 4 pm, ESPN U)
FIU gives up 41 points per game and has scored only 10 points all year. USF averages 41 points scored per game and averages 2.5 times as many offensive yards per game as FIU. You get the idea – this one won’t be close.
J.Pike’s Pick: South Florida 48, Florida International 6

Boise State at #14 Oregon
(Saturday, 2:30 pm)
Two high powered offenses meet up in this matchup, but they will be facing two underrated defensive units. Oregon’s secondary is one of the best in the nation and Boise has only allowed 14 points so far this year. The difference is Oregon has cut their teeth against Washington and Purdue, while Boise has only faced Bowling Green and Idaho State.
J.Pike’s Pick: Oregon 27, Boise State 17

Massachusetts at #15 Texas Tech
(Saturday, 6 pm)
Is Texas Tech applying for 1-AA status? You’d think so by looking at their schedule.
J.Pike’s Pick: Texas Tech 51, UMass 17

South Carolina State at #16 Clemson
(Saturday, noon, ESPN360.com)
Ditto for Clemson. No wonder they played like crap against Alabama – they aren’t used to playing anybody decent this early in the season. And seriously, get that running game going.
J.Pike’s Pick: Clemson 44, S.C. State 10

#17 Utah at Air Force
(Friday, 3 pm, Versus)
These two Mountain West rivals have a history of great games. Over the last 20 years the margin of victory in this series has been 7 points or less 13 times! This season both teams enter the game with perfect 3-0 records, so you can expect more of the same. In the end Brian Johnson will make the difference. Air Force, which averages only 30 passing yards per game, will struggle to score when they need to late in the game against Utah’s stout defense.
J.Pike’s Pick: Utah 23, Air Force 20

#18 East Carolina at N.C. State
(Saturday, 11 am, ESPN)
Believe me - N.C. State will be ready to play. This rivalry has grown especially intense ever since East Carolina fans stormed N.C. State’s field and tore down their goalposts after a win in 1987. Just two years ago N.C. State officials removed the goal posts with 14 seconds left in the game because they thought the rowdy ECU fans in attendance might do it again! On the field, East Carolina seems to be doing everything right so far this year in bursting out to a 3-0 start and beating preseason top 25 teams Virginia Tech and West Virginia. But there are chinks in the armor. Patrick Pinkney is a really good quarterback, but for some reason the offense struggles to score points at times. And the defense lost one of its best players, linebacker Quentin Cotton, to injury last week. I think quarterback Russell Wilson will pace a steady Wolfpack offense to the upset win at home.
J.Pike’s Pick: N.C. State 24, East Carolina 20

Sam Houston State at #19 Kansas
(Saturday, 6 pm, FCS-Central)
We have a Rhett Bomar sighting! The former Oklahoma ball hog has landed in Huntsville, TX, where he leads the Bearkats of Sam Houston State. He’s no match for Joe Mortensen and the Kansas defense though. Todd Reesing and a deep stable of receivers has been dicing up opposing defenses, so this shouldn’t be much of a contest.
J.Pike’s Pick: Kansas 45, Sam Houston State 13

Wyoming at #20 BYU
(Saturday, 2 pm, the mtn.)
Despite only scoring 40 points so far this season, Wyoming is 2-1. BYU on the other hand scored 42 points IN THE FIRST HALF against UCLA a week ago. BYU rolls over Dax Crum and the Cowboys for an easy win.
J.Pike’s Pick: BYU 31, Wyoming 13

#21 Illinois is Idle

#22 Nebraska is Idle

Baylor @ #25 Connecticut
(Friday, 7 pm, ESPN 2)
I’ll call this recommended viewing if you’re at home Friday night with nothing better to do. It probably won’t be a very close game, but there is one very good reason to check it out. His name is Robert Griffin. If you haven’t seen Baylor’s freshman quarterback play yet, do yourself a favor and tune in. He’s easily the best athlete Baylor has had in a decade, and he’ll make a couple highlight reel plays. This game will be all UConn though. Running back Donald Brown will probably eclipse the 200 yard mark for the third straight week and UConn will shut down everybody not named Griffin. But Baylor won’t be an easy win for much longer.
J.Pike’s Pick: Connecticut 34, Baylor 21

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