11.06.2008

WEEK ELEVEN - Thursday Night Games

#22 Maryland @ Virginia Tech
(Thursday, 6:30 pm, ESPN)
Maryland is the ultimate Dr. Jeckyl/Mr. Hyde team. They can get beat by Middle Tennessee one week and then bounce back to destroy teams like Cal and Clemson all in the span of a month. Tonight they travel to Blacksburg where Virginia Tech is traditionally one of the stronger Thursday night teams. Tyrod Taylor still isn't there yet as a quarterback, but he's dangerous enough to lead the Hokies to some points. Maryland on the other hand have speedy running back Da'Rel Scott to lean on. Will he be able to do enough against a young, improving Bud Foster defense? I'll give the edge to the Hokies due to their defense and the home crowd.
J.Pike's Pick: Virginia Tech 28, Maryland 24

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#13 TCU @ #10 Utah
(Thursday, 7 pm, CBS College Sports)
The Mountain West takes center stage tonight (on CBS College Sports??) as the league's top two teams square off. The winner not only has a leg up on winning the conference title - a berth in a BCS bowl might also be at stake.

If you like good defenses, this is the game for you. TCU and Utah are the best defensive teams in a conference that knows a thing or two about defense. They are also both in the top 10 nationally in total yards allowed per game.

Utah is led up front by defensive end Paul Kruger. The sophomore is fourth on the team in tackles and has piled up 6.5 sacks and 14.5 tackles for loss. It doesn't end there for the Utes. Linebacker Stevenson Sylvester and defensive end Koa Misi are active players who will each contend for All-League honors at the end of the season. And don't forget about the rangy Sean Smith. At 6-foot-3, Smith is one of the taller cornerbacks in the nation, and he has tremendous athleticism to go along with it.

TCU is led defensively by the talented Jerry Hughes. TCU has traditionally featured a pass rushing menace at defensive end and Hughes is no exception. In fact, with 14 sacks and 5 forced fumbles, Hughes might be one of the best quarterback harrassers the Frogs have ever had.

Like Utah, TCU swarms to the ball and gang tackles as well as anybody. Linebacker Jason Phillips is often leading that swarm. Phillips leads the Frogs with 60 tackles so expect to see him all over the field tonight.

With two great defenses, the difference in the game will come down to which offense is able to pick up first downs and keep drives alive. TCU is paced by steady quarterback Andy Dalton. He won't impress you with his skills, but he's the kind of player that just makes the team better somehow.

Usually TCU has a feature back that they can count on to pick up yards in a pinch, but they don't have that this year. Aaron Brown is close, but he doesn't even start most of the time and has been more impressive returning kicks. Jeremy Kerley could be the X-Factor as he was in the Frogs' big win over BYU earlier this year.

But I think Utah has the edge when it comes down to which offense can move the ball more consistently. The running back tandem of Matt Asiata and Darrell Mack are a combined 450 pounds (not to mention the 12 touchdowns between the two) and I think they can take the pounding the TCU defense is sure to bring and continue to pick up the few yards here and there to keep the chains moving. In fact, Mack ran for 100 yards last year on the Frogs.

Quarterback Brian Johnson is one of the most underrated player in the nation and he will ultimately be the difference tonight. He throws a beautiful ball and has the athleticism to avoid Hughes and the TCU pass rush more often than not.
J.Pike's Pick: Utah 23, TCU 19

BP25 Week 10

Sorry for the delay:

1. Alabama
2. Penn St.
3. Texas Tech
4. Texas
5. Florida
6. Boise St.
7. Oklahoma
8. Utah
9. Georgia
10. Oklahoma St.
11. USC
12. Ohio St.
13. TCU
14. Ball St.
15. Michigan St.
16. Missouri
17. Minnesota
18. N. Carolina
19. Pittsburgh
20. Cincinnati
21. BYU
22. California
23. Georgia Tech
24. Tulsa
25. Northwestern

On the Radar:
LSU, Florida St., Maryland, W Virginia, Air Force, C Michigan, W Michigan, S Carolina, Kentucky, Vanderbuilt, Kansas, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech, Miami, Oregon, Oregon St., USF, UCONN, Rice, Navy

11.04.2008

Week Ten Recap

Yuck. For the second straight week, Pikes Picks had an off week in all of our picks. As both of our records against the spread get back to the 50% mark, I figure we've hit bottom. From here on out you can count on our records to go nowhere but up.

B.PIKE

Against The Spread
Week Games: 3-0 (100%)
Saturday
: 19-28 (40.4%)

Week Ten Total: 22-28 (44%)
SEASON TOTAL: 238-231-10 (50.7%)

J.PIKE

Straight Up
Week Games: 0-1 (0%)
Top 25 Picks
: 13-5 (72.2%)
Under the Radar: 3-0 (100%)
Picks for Breakfast: 3-6 (33.3%)

Week Ten Total: 19-12 (61.3%)
SEASON TOTAL: 221-80 (73.4%)

Against The Spread
Locks: 1-3 (25%)
Other Picks: 2-5 (28.6%)

Week Ten Total: 3-8 (27.3%)
SEASON TOTAL: 59-59-1 (50%)
SEASON TOTAL ("Locks"): 28-20 (58.3%)

11.03.2008

News & Notes

* After a 17 year career that included a national championship in the 1998 season, Phil Fulmer is stepping down as head coach at the University of Tennessee at the end of the season. Fulmer had great success in his time in Knoxville, where he guided his alma mater to their first national championship in 47 years. But the program hit a lull and his 27-20 record over the last four seasons finally caught up with him.

* In other coaching carousel news, Toledo (2-6) head coach Tom Amstutz announced he will resign at the end of this season as well. Toledo beat Michigan earlier this year, but the Rockets are only 2-6 overall. Amstutz had a successful eight year run in which he went 57-38 overall and guided Toledo to four bowl games and two MAC championship game appearances.

* USC safety Kevin Ellison will probably be out the next 2-4 weeks due to a knee injury suffered in practice last week.

* Oklahoma defensive end Auston English left the Nebraska game early with an apparent leg injury. Head coach Bob Stoops said the pass rush specialist would be out “maybe 3 weeks,” which would include their matchup with Texas Tech on November 22.

* Colorado mighty mite running back Rodney Stewart is likely out for the rest of the season with a broken leg suffered on a horse-collar tackle against Texas A&M. The freshman has been a revelation for the Buffaloes this year, and he was quickly becoming one of my favorite players to watch, so here’s hoping he makes a full recovery.

JP25 Update

Top 25 (last week, record)
1. Penn State (2, 9-0)
2. Alabama (3, 9-0)
3. Texas Tech (12, 9-0)
4. Texas (1, 8-1)
5. USC (6, 7-1)
6. Oklahoma (5, 8-1)
7. Florida (7, 7-1)
8. Oklahoma State (8, 8-1)
9. Georgia (4, 7-2)
10. Ohio State (9, 7-2)
11. Utah (10, 9-0)
12. Missouri (11, 7-2)
13. TCU (13, 9-1)
14. Boise State (14, 8-0)
15. LSU (15, 6-2)
16. Maryland (20, 6-2)
17. California (--, 6-2)
18. Michigan State (18, 8-2)
19. Georgia Tech (--, 7-2)
20. North Carolina (24, 6-2)
21. Oregon (17, 6-3)
22. Florida State (19, 6-2)
23. Pittsburgh (--, 6-2)
24. Kansas (21, 6-3)
25. Virginia Tech (23, 5-3)

Dropped Out: Tulsa (16), BYU (22), Minnesota (25)
Just Missed The Cut: BYU, West Virginia, Ball State, Boston College, Miami, Cincinnati, Northwestern, Kentucky

11.01.2008

Football for Breakfast

Mmm. Football for Breakfast. Here's some last minute picks before the games start this morning.

West Virginia 27, Connecticut 20
Somebody has to win the Big East, right? At the moment I think West Virginia is the strongest team in the weakest of all BCS conferences. UConn is without the services of their top two quarterbacks, and running back Donald Brown (aka Javon Ringer-East) can only do so much. Meanwhile the West Virginia backfield duo of Pat White and Noel Devine are just starting to hit their stride. UConn will put up a fight, but they won’t be able to contain Devine’s speed for 60 minutes.

Central Michigan 32, Indiana 23
Indiana got their upset win a week ago against an injury plagued Northwestern team missing their top quarterback and running back. This week they’ll return to earth when one of the top non-BCS teams you know nothing about comes to town.

Virginia 25, Miami 17
Virginia continues their winning ways by beating a talented, but young and inconsistent Miami team. Look out for the 'Canes in 2009.

Notre Dame 34, Pittsburgh 27
Who knows what Pittsburgh team is going to show up? The Big East Conference has some of the most inconsistent programs in the nation. Notre Dame will beat Pitt the same way Rutgers did: with the passing game. Jimmy “the Ostrich” Clausen throws a nice deep ball and Golden Tate and true freshman Michael Floyd are more than capable of cashing in on the big play opportunities sure to come their way.

Mississippi State 24, Kentucky 21
Rich Brooks made a smart move by designating Randall Cobb the starting quarterback. The wide receiver-turned-signal caller has excellent athleticism and looks natural throwing the football. The problem is Kentucky has been bitten hard by the injury bug. Not only are receiver Dicky Lyons and running back Derrick Locke out for the season, but three offensive linemen and up to five defensive starters may miss this game against the Croomdawgs as well. You aren’t going to win many games missing that many key players no matter who you are.

Boston College 27, Clemson 17
Clemson is done. There isn’t a single player on the roster capable of blocking anybody, so BC’s defense should have no problem shutting the inept Tigers down.

Iowa 20, Illinois 16
Iowa running back Shonn Green will chew up yards and clock against the underachieving Illini defense, which will keep Juice Williams and Arrelious Benn on the sidelines.

Louisville 34, Syracuse 15
I’m going to go ahead and start hyping up the Cardinals. The rest of the Big East is clearly incapable of shooting themselves in the foot, so why can’t Steve Kragthorpe’s gang crash the party a year early?

South Carolina 24, Tennessee 16
Could this be the last meeting between Phil Fulmer and Steve Spurrier? This head coaching rivalry has brought us some great moments – such as the famous “you can’t spell ‘Citrus’ without ‘UT’” blast. I’m picking Spurrier for old time’s sake.

Oregon State 33, Arizona State 27
The honeymoon is over for Dennis Erickson in Tempe. After a successful first season (that happened to coincide with an easy schedule), the Sun Devils are crashing and burning in year two.

Week 10 Against the Spread

Here are the standings:
The Sledge 215-201-5
The Experts 205-211-5

Buffalo +2.5 vs Ohio
Marshall +8 vs Houston
Cincinnati +3 vs USF
Northwestern +5.5 @ Minnesota
W Virginia -4 @ UCONN
Indiana -2.5 vs C Michigan
Michigan St. -5 vs Wisconsin
Virginia +1 vs Miami
Air Force -10 @ Army
Michigan +1.5 @ Purdue
Kansas St. +11 @ Kansas
Ole Miss -6 vs Auburn
Arkansas +7 vs Tulsa
Kent St +7.5 @ Bowling Green
Texas A&M -3 vs Colorado
E Michigan +17.5 @ W Michigan
S Diego St. +3 @ Wyoming
Notre Dame -5.5 vs Pittsburgh
Miss St -3 vs Kentucky
Fresno St. -4.5 @ Louisiana Tech
Arkansas St. +23.5 vs Alabama
Baylor +20.5 vs Missouri
Hawaii -7.5 @ Utah St.
Oklahoma St. -30.5 vs Iowa St.
Georgia +5.5 vs Florida
Florida St. -2 @ Georgia Tech
California -3 vs Oregon
Clemson +5.5 @ Boston College
Duke +7 @ Wake Forest
Illinois -1.5 vs Iowa
Navy -7 vs Temple
Western Kentucky vs North Texas
Washington St +30 @ Stanford
Idaho +16 vs San Jose St.
FIU +7 @ UL-Lafayette
BYU -14.5 @ Colorado St.
USC -43 vs Washington
Boise St. -20.5 @ N Mexico St.
Louisville -14 @ Syracuse
ULM +10.5 vs Troy
S Carolina -6 vs Tennessee
Texas Tech +6 vs Texas
Nebraska +21.5 @ Oklahoma
LSU -25.5 vs Tulane
TCU -13.5 @ UNLV
UAB +8.5 @ S Mississippi
Rice -2 @ UTEP
Utah -7.5 @ N Mexico
Oregon St. -13.5 vs Arizona St.
East Carolina -3.5 @ UCF